Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.489816 0.539503 0.593675 0.657405 0.730685 0.812738 0.912167
2025-06-01 0.401876 0.468924 0.548060 0.649551 0.778016 0.937674 1.155113
2025-06-08 0.349258 0.423361 0.515620 0.641290 0.811867 1.041346 1.384524
2025-06-15 0.323092 0.404099 0.509537 0.660765 0.879092 1.194935 1.711572
2025-06-22 0.290814 0.371973 0.481063 0.643624 0.889566 1.266180 1.928917
2025-06-29 0.269121 0.351215 0.464821 0.640173 0.917425 1.365966 2.215153
2025-07-06 0.244703 0.324124 0.436436 0.614460 0.905645 1.397550 2.385853
2025-07-13 0.235735 0.317932 0.437292 0.632839 0.966706 1.563198 2.860829
2025-07-20 0.227490 0.311892 0.437474 0.649641 1.026949 1.738869 3.417467
2025-07-27 0.217954 0.303042 0.432321 0.656675 1.070362 1.890661 3.977600
2025-08-03 0.203738 0.286002 0.412798 0.636979 1.061007 1.932323 4.277449
2025-08-10 0.190619 0.269814 0.393409 0.615526 1.045235 1.957005 4.541942
2025-08-17 0.180425 0.257938 0.380743 0.605863 1.053648 2.042686 5.040685
2025-08-24 0.171563 0.247706 0.370164 0.599180 1.067808 2.147003 5.662067
2025-08-31 0.163393 0.238061 0.359820 0.591807 1.079371 2.248123 6.336706
2025-09-07 0.160109 0.236135 0.362444 0.609283 1.147595 2.513303 7.821201
2025-09-14 0.151838 0.225442 0.349000 0.593906 1.139293 2.569049 8.488784
2025-09-21 0.146107 0.218687 0.342049 0.590809 1.159174 2.711337 9.684468
2025-09-28 0.137864 0.207254 0.325996 0.567709 1.127875 2.693197 10.065810
2025-10-05 0.135891 0.206399 0.328999 0.584224 1.196244 3.005336 12.614738
2025-10-12 0.133793 0.205190 0.331231 0.599306 1.263823 3.341299 15.869995
2025-10-19 0.130664 0.201996 0.329510 0.605616 1.309541 3.619802 19.273652
2025-10-26 0.124764 0.193619 0.317453 0.587941 1.287134 3.638318 20.566280